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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.84+2.98vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.71+5.32vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.90vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.88vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+2.01vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.32vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.29-1.44vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+1.97vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53-0.81vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.72-2.73vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42+0.07vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-0.80vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.85+1.62vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.80-1.73vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.17-9.07vs Predicted
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16American University-1.93-1.17vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.84-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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7.32Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.9Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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7.01Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.32SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.56SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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9.97Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.19Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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7.27Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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11.07Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.2Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.62Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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12.27Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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14.83American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.67Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kennedy | 20.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 30.4% |
| Sean Boland | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 24.0% | 31.5% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.