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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.84+2.80vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.80+4.74vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.71+4.07vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+1.77vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.53+2.64vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-1.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.29-1.57vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.11+0.87vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.53vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.47+0.75vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.14vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.85+1.85vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.12-3.42vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-3.55vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.84-1.10vs Predicted
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16American University-1.93-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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6.74Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.07Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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5.77Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.64Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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4.77Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.43SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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8.87Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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10.75Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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6.86SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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13.85Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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9.58Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.45Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.9Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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14.05American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kennedy | 20.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 31.0% |
| John Dixon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 28.8% | 30.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.