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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.29+4.23vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.80+4.76vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.47+7.63vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+0.83vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.84-1.06vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.11+3.06vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.71+0.16vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+1.54vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53-1.41vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.07vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.17-5.31vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.42-1.50vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.85+0.84vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.90-7.63vs Predicted
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15American University-1.93-0.99vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.84-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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6.76Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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10.63Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.83Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.94Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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9.06Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.16Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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9.54Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.59Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.69Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.5Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.84Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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14.01American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.93Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wilcenski | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kennedy | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Hurst | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 28.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 26.4% | 33.6% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 25.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.