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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.72+5.80vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.49vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.60vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+2.80vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.39vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+1.04vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.71+0.07vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+1.50vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.42+1.44vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.29-4.79vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.53-3.50vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.79-5.25vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-2.37vs Predicted
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14American University-1.93-0.06vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.85-1.06vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.84-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.6Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.8Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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6.39SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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7.04Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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7.07Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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9.5Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.44Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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7.5Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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10.63Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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13.94American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.94Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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13.89Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Miller | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 16.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| John Wilcenski | 12.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 25.9% | 32.4% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 17.0% | 26.4% | 32.1% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.