← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+5.29vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.17+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+3.92vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University1.52+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University0.72+1.98vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.71+1.08vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College1.29-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.80-1.45vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.31vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University0.53-2.37vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.12-1.48vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute-0.47-1.37vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-0.42-2.52vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-1.85-0.16vs Predicted
-
15American University-1.93-0.94vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-1.84-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.29SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.54Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
6.92Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.61Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
-
6.98Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.08Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
-
5.29SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
-
6.55Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
-
6.69SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.63Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
-
9.52Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.63Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.48Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.84Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
-
14.06American University-1.930.0%1st Place
-
13.9Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Wilcenski | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 18.8% | 25.7% | 28.8% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 26.3% | 34.4% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 25.8% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.