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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+2.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.24-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.44+4.25vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.58+4.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.11-2.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.72vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56-3.19vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.59-3.58vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-3.27vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-2.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.58-3.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.79-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Yale University1.7011.6%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University1.2012.2%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University1.3914.3%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island1.057.0%1st Place
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4.88Brown University1.2413.6%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont-0.442.5%1st Place
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11.19Bates College-0.581.7%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University1.119.8%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University0.567.3%1st Place
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7.42Fairfield University0.596.9%1st Place
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8.73Salve Regina University0.973.4%1st Place
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10.1McGill University-0.362.5%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University-0.582.5%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University-0.791.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| Brayden Benesch | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.