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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+1.27vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72-0.09vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.45-1.66vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.27William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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2.91Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.36Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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5.68Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 68.3% | 21.6% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.8% | 22.0% | 26.0% | 26.2% | 16.1% | 1.9% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.2% | 28.3% | 26.8% | 22.6% | 9.2% | 0.9% |
| Alison Reed | 2.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 46.6% | 12.1% |
| Derek Safieh | 8.4% | 19.5% | 25.6% | 26.1% | 16.7% | 3.7% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.