← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.11+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.97+6.80vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.70+2.31vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.20+1.42vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.39-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.58+5.07vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.05-0.19vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.56-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University0.59-1.46vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University-0.58+0.90vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont-0.44-1.67vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.24-8.12vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.18vs Predicted
-
15McGill University-0.36-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71Tufts University1.119.2%1st Place
-
8.8Salve Regina University0.973.9%1st Place
-
5.31Yale University1.7011.5%1st Place
-
5.42Tufts University1.2011.4%1st Place
-
4.83Roger Williams University1.3914.8%1st Place
-
11.07Bates College-0.581.8%1st Place
-
6.81University of Rhode Island1.058.7%1st Place
-
6.81Boston University0.567.0%1st Place
-
7.54Fairfield University0.596.2%1st Place
-
10.9Northeastern University-0.582.3%1st Place
-
9.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.4%1st Place
-
10.33University of Vermont-0.442.6%1st Place
-
4.88Brown University1.2413.8%1st Place
-
11.82Salve Regina University-0.791.4%1st Place
-
10.16McGill University-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Benesch | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Alex Adams | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Greer Page | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 29.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.