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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.45+1.19vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.34vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-1.71vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72-2.96vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.19University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.34Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.29William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.04Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.68Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 66.6% | 23.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 8.7% | 23.2% | 28.2% | 23.0% | 14.4% | 2.5% |
| Alison Reed | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 46.2% | 13.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.9% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 29.0% | 15.9% | 1.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 11.4% | 25.6% | 25.2% | 25.2% | 10.7% | 1.9% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 12.2% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.