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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.45+1.20vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.61+1.34vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72-1.07vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-1.60vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.2University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.34Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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2.93Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.4William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.67Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 66.5% | 23.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 8.6% | 22.8% | 27.5% | 24.6% | 14.2% | 2.3% |
| Alison Reed | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 47.3% | 12.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.7% | 26.0% | 28.7% | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.6% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 29.4% | 16.9% | 3.8% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.