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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.47vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.90vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.45-0.79vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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2.9Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.28William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.45Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.68Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 65.4% | 24.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.3% | 28.2% | 28.8% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.5% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 29.6% | 15.5% | 1.9% |
| Derek Safieh | 10.0% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 27.6% | 14.4% | 1.6% |
| Alison Reed | 2.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 18.2% | 47.5% | 14.6% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.