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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.46vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.45+0.18vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.37vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72-1.95vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.27William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.37Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.05Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.68Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 67.5% | 22.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.0% | 21.8% | 25.6% | 26.3% | 16.3% | 2.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 10.1% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 27.9% | 13.0% | 1.8% |
| Alison Reed | 2.7% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 46.2% | 12.4% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 11.3% | 25.9% | 27.1% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 2.0% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 10.6% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.