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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.45+1.22vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+0.28vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72-1.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.61-0.56vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.22University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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3.28William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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2.92Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.44Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.68Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 66.5% | 23.6% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 8.4% | 23.0% | 26.9% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 1.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.7% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 28.8% | 16.0% | 1.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.7% | 25.8% | 28.9% | 22.8% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| Alison Reed | 2.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 47.1% | 14.4% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.