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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.45+1.34vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+0.04vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.93-1.17vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.68-1.42vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.34University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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3.04Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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2.83William and Mary0.930.1%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 63.2% | 24.9% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 7.4% | 20.9% | 23.6% | 28.4% | 17.6% | 2.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.2% | 21.3% | 28.7% | 26.5% | 10.3% | 1.0% |
| Charles Neff | 14.6% | 26.3% | 29.0% | 22.7% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 2.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 52.1% | 15.8% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 12.9% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.