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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.93+1.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.45+0.32vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.68-0.42vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.21-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84William and Mary0.930.1%1st Place
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1.52U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.32University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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3.04Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Neff | 15.0% | 27.0% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| James Morgan | 63.4% | 24.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 8.8% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 31.9% | 15.1% | 1.7% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 10.4% | 24.9% | 26.7% | 27.1% | 9.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 1.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 52.6% | 15.9% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 13.8% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.