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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.37vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+1.08vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72-0.28vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.37-0.96vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-2.21-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.08William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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2.72Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.61Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 71.8% | 20.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.4% | 26.3% | 29.3% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 1.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 13.3% | 32.5% | 29.9% | 18.0% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Alison Reed | 3.3% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 38.9% | 10.1% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 2.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 28.8% | 30.5% | 10.1% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.