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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.39vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.37+0.90vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.23vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.21+0.61vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39U. S. Naval Academy2.420.7%1st Place
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3.1William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.23Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.61Virginia Tech-2.210.0%1st Place
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2.77Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 69.9% | 22.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.9% | 24.8% | 30.6% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.1% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 27.7% | 31.0% | 7.3% |
| Alison Reed | 3.2% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 25.2% | 39.0% | 11.2% |
| Britt Osborne | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 78.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.4% | 32.2% | 28.6% | 19.7% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.