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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+7.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+5.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.20+1.26vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79+7.01vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.24-2.02vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36+2.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.11-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-3.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-4.19vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.44-2.63vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.59-6.51vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.58-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University1.7012.4%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.4%1st Place
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8.77Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University1.2012.3%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University-0.791.6%1st Place
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4.83Roger Williams University1.3914.5%1st Place
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4.98Brown University1.2412.9%1st Place
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10.0McGill University-0.362.5%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University1.1110.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island1.056.5%1st Place
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6.81Boston University0.568.1%1st Place
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11.11Bates College-0.581.6%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont-0.442.3%1st Place
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7.49Fairfield University0.596.2%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University-0.581.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 30.4% |
| Edward Herman | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| Greer Page | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.