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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.35+0.23vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.28-0.87vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.06-2.03vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06-3.03vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.61-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29U. S. Naval Academy2.060.8%1st Place
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3.23University of Maryland-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.13William and Mary-0.280.1%1st Place
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2.97Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.97Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 77.0% | 17.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 6.1% | 22.0% | 28.7% | 29.2% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Holderness | 7.3% | 24.4% | 27.4% | 29.4% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 8.0% | 30.1% | 28.6% | 23.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 8.0% | 30.1% | 28.6% | 23.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Gustav Berner | 1.6% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 65.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.