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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+4.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.24+2.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+0.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.58+4.98vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59-0.43vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.70-3.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.79+1.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.44-0.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.11-6.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.56-6.16vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.36-3.96vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.58-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Tufts University1.2013.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island1.057.5%1st Place
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5.13Brown University1.2413.2%1st Place
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4.8Roger Williams University1.3913.2%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.6%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University-0.581.7%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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7.57Fairfield University0.595.3%1st Place
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5.21Yale University1.7014.2%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University-0.790.9%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont-0.442.4%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.119.4%1st Place
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6.84Boston University0.566.8%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-0.362.6%1st Place
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11.18Bates College-0.581.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 14.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 29.1% |
| Greer Page | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.