Race 7B

sister-esther

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Olivia Lowthian 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 5.7% 4.2% 6.9% 6.7% 7.7% 7.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.9% 7.4% 4.2%
Courtland Doyle 9.9% 11.9% 10.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 7.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Hamilton 12.3% 13.3% 11.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.2% 10.0% 6.8% 5.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Adam Strobridge 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.7% 7.1% 9.2% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Edward Herman 15.2% 13.3% 12.8% 11.9% 10.1% 7.2% 9.2% 6.3% 5.0% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Adams 13.0% 11.6% 11.5% 9.8% 10.5% 10.4% 8.6% 7.0% 5.8% 4.9% 3.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Brayden Benesch 10.8% 9.7% 10.4% 10.3% 10.3% 9.3% 8.2% 8.1% 6.8% 6.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Andy Leshaw 3.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.7% 10.1% 11.7% 9.3% 10.6% 7.1%
Gavin Monaghan 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.2% 7.6% 9.3% 8.4% 9.2% 8.0% 7.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Sean Morrison 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.2% 9.2% 13.2% 15.7% 28.8%
Bryce Vitiello 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.4% 7.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.3%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 7.5% 9.8% 12.4% 13.0% 13.6% 9.8%
Greer Page 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 4.8% 7.2% 7.5% 8.5% 11.4% 12.3% 11.7% 12.3%
Harrison Nash 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 10.6% 13.2% 16.4% 17.9%
Benjamin Wilkinson 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.9% 9.0% 10.8% 12.0% 15.4% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.