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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.24vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.79+9.79vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.56+3.82vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58+7.02vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+3.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11-0.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.39-2.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.20-2.60vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.59-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-3.39vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.44-0.62vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.24-6.94vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-2.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.36vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.58-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University1.7013.4%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University-0.791.5%1st Place
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6.82Boston University0.567.5%1st Place
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11.02Bates College-0.582.1%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University1.1110.2%1st Place
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4.93Roger Williams University1.3914.2%1st Place
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5.4Tufts University1.2011.8%1st Place
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7.64Fairfield University0.595.8%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island1.057.7%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont-0.442.4%1st Place
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5.06Brown University1.2412.0%1st Place
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10.08McGill University-0.362.2%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.6%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University-0.582.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 28.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Edward Herman | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Greer Page | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 12.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.