Race 1A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 31.7% 25.9% 18.3% 12.4% 5.8% 2.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 16.6% 17.1% 18.5% 15.3% 11.8% 8.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Cornell 20.2% 18.5% 19.9% 13.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.1% 4.1% 3.4% 5.2% 7.6% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 13.8% 13.3% 10.6% 8.7%
Andrew Dodd 1.4% 1.7% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.6% 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 11.9% 18.6% 22.6%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.1% 10.4% 9.2% 11.6% 14.1% 13.4% 11.6% 8.2% 7.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Max Thompson 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 8.8% 10.6% 11.0% 11.1% 12.2% 10.5% 9.2% 7.3% 3.1%
Allison Chenard 1.1% 1.2% 2.7% 4.1% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 11.3% 16.6% 33.7%
Jack Famiglietti 4.6% 4.9% 7.8% 9.8% 10.7% 13.3% 12.8% 11.7% 9.7% 7.9% 5.3% 1.5%
John Fewell 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.8% 12.2% 13.0% 11.5% 12.4% 8.8% 5.9%
Travis Tucker 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 5.3% 4.7% 6.0% 8.1% 11.1% 11.9% 15.1% 17.2% 13.2%
Conner Killham 2.7% 4.0% 2.5% 3.6% 7.0% 7.2% 9.6% 10.4% 13.9% 14.1% 14.1% 10.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.