Race 3A

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 47.7% 26.7% 16.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Dietsch 5.2% 8.4% 10.5% 14.1% 16.1% 16.7% 14.9% 11.0% 2.8% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 12.2% 16.0% 20.2% 18.4% 14.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 18.2% 24.2% 19.8% 16.9% 10.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Cross 6.4% 9.2% 10.9% 15.4% 17.2% 15.8% 14.3% 9.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Kellan Gatt 3.0% 5.2% 7.0% 9.2% 12.0% 14.9% 18.6% 21.9% 6.9% 1.2%
Josh Hacker 4.0% 5.2% 7.7% 9.7% 14.1% 17.0% 17.5% 17.9% 6.3% 0.7%
Reed Rossell 2.9% 4.2% 6.7% 7.8% 9.8% 14.6% 19.6% 23.7% 8.9% 1.8%
Cooper Avery 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 4.0% 8.1% 43.8% 37.8%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.1% 29.2% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.