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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+6.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.70+2.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+4.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.39-0.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-0.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.24-2.95vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36+1.01vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.58+1.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.79-0.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.44-2.74vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.56-7.17vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.58-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Fairfield University0.596.5%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University1.2013.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University1.7012.1%1st Place
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8.75Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University1.3913.1%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University1.119.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island1.058.2%1st Place
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5.05Brown University1.2413.8%1st Place
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10.01McGill University-0.362.9%1st Place
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11.09Bates College-0.581.2%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.9%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University-0.791.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont-0.442.4%1st Place
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6.83Boston University0.567.9%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University-0.581.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Edward Herman | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 30.1% |
| Greer Page | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.