Race 2A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 32.5% 24.8% 18.3% 10.9% 8.0% 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 8.0% 8.4% 11.7% 13.8% 13.0% 13.0% 11.3% 9.2% 6.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 16.8% 18.0% 17.8% 13.7% 12.7% 10.2% 6.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 10.3% 11.0% 12.2% 12.4% 12.6% 10.4% 9.4%
Sean Cornell 19.9% 20.3% 16.8% 17.4% 9.6% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dodd 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.9% 10.2% 12.7% 20.0% 21.9%
Max Thompson 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 7.2% 11.5% 11.8% 9.5% 13.3% 11.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2%
John Fewell 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 7.1% 8.2% 9.4% 12.3% 10.3% 13.8% 12.4% 8.0% 5.3%
Jack Famiglietti 5.0% 5.0% 7.2% 10.2% 11.4% 11.8% 12.7% 13.2% 9.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6%
Travis Tucker 2.1% 3.0% 5.2% 3.4% 6.1% 6.8% 8.6% 9.3% 12.9% 15.3% 14.6% 12.7%
Conner Killham 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.0% 8.5% 9.1% 11.7% 11.0% 14.0% 15.1% 11.4%
Allison Chenard 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.0% 3.5% 5.4% 6.5% 10.2% 11.5% 18.9% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.