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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Karl Rasmus Sayre 8.1% 9.4% 9.8% 12.5% 15.0% 13.0% 11.1% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Max Thompson 4.0% 4.9% 6.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 12.2% 13.1% 11.9% 9.7% 6.3% 3.1%
Stefano Peschiera 33.4% 23.4% 18.3% 11.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Cornell 18.9% 20.9% 19.1% 15.9% 10.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Fewell 3.1% 4.5% 4.7% 6.7% 8.2% 9.9% 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 11.8% 9.8% 6.4%
Jack Famiglietti 4.7% 5.2% 7.7% 9.2% 9.4% 11.4% 13.2% 13.6% 9.6% 8.7% 5.4% 1.9%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.4% 3.5% 5.1% 5.3% 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 9.2% 12.3% 12.6% 12.5% 7.8%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 16.9% 18.6% 17.3% 15.4% 11.2% 9.5% 5.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Conner Killham 2.2% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 10.0% 12.9% 11.8% 12.1% 13.4% 9.1%
Travis Tucker 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 8.0% 11.0% 13.5% 12.8% 15.4% 12.9%
Andrew Dodd 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 4.7% 6.5% 6.6% 8.1% 10.5% 14.3% 18.5% 22.6%
Allison Chenard 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 10.3% 13.1% 16.7% 35.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.