Race 4A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 32.9% 24.4% 18.6% 12.1% 6.2% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Thompson 3.8% 4.4% 7.5% 7.8% 10.6% 10.1% 11.6% 13.8% 12.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.2%
Sean Cornell 20.4% 19.2% 16.9% 15.9% 12.4% 7.7% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 7.5% 9.1% 12.9% 11.8% 12.0% 15.8% 10.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Jack Famiglietti 3.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.0% 11.4% 10.9% 11.6% 12.3% 10.6% 7.0% 6.9% 2.9%
Conner Killham 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 5.2% 7.2% 6.9% 8.6% 10.9% 12.8% 15.1% 13.9% 9.8%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 18.8% 17.9% 16.1% 14.7% 12.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.6% 7.2% 10.1% 10.7% 10.8% 11.1% 15.1% 10.7% 8.0%
John Fewell 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 7.4% 9.5% 10.8% 14.8% 11.0% 10.9% 11.6% 8.2% 5.0%
Travis Tucker 2.2% 3.8% 3.6% 5.3% 4.6% 6.9% 8.4% 10.4% 13.0% 14.1% 14.7% 13.0%
Andrew Dodd 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 3.7% 4.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.5% 10.5% 13.6% 20.4% 21.5%
Allison Chenard 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 3.5% 2.8% 2.9% 5.3% 8.1% 9.1% 11.0% 17.2% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.