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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 33.5% 21.7% 20.7% 10.6% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 4.3% 5.4% 7.6% 9.3% 11.1% 12.2% 11.2% 10.8% 11.1% 8.7% 5.7% 2.6%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 8.7% 8.6% 11.2% 12.5% 14.3% 13.9% 10.2% 9.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Conner Killham 1.9% 3.3% 3.3% 5.5% 7.1% 8.3% 10.2% 11.8% 11.1% 13.6% 13.8% 10.1%
Sean Cornell 18.9% 23.1% 17.0% 14.1% 11.0% 7.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 16.9% 17.7% 16.8% 16.9% 11.2% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.0% 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 8.1% 9.2% 8.9% 12.0% 12.1% 12.3% 11.4% 8.3%
Travis Tucker 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 7.1% 8.7% 9.1% 11.8% 14.2% 14.3% 14.8%
Allison Chenard 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 12.2% 19.8% 31.3%
Andrew Dodd 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 7.5% 8.0% 11.4% 14.3% 17.8% 21.3%
Max Thompson 3.8% 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.4% 12.9% 12.0% 11.6% 9.4% 6.4% 5.1%
John Fewell 3.2% 4.8% 4.0% 5.4% 8.3% 9.8% 11.9% 13.1% 13.5% 10.8% 9.3% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.