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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+4.49vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+2.19vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-1.62vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43-2.32vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+0.59vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.44+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.16-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.86-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.49University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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5.19Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.0Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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3.38University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.59Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.27North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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8.92Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.37University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 33.5% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Conner Killham | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 18.9% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.9% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 31.3% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| Max Thompson | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| John Fewell | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.