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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+2.43vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+1.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+2.19vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia0.85+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-0.65vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69-0.33vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.86-2.80vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.16-1.93vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.44-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.19Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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2.56College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.84University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.67Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.2University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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9.07Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.39North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 18.4% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 32.9% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 35.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Conner Killham | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% |
| John Fewell | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Dodd | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| Travis Tucker | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.