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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Karl Rasmus Sayre 8.7% 8.7% 11.0% 14.2% 13.0% 15.0% 12.9% 6.7% 5.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.3% 8.6% 9.4% 11.8% 12.5% 12.9% 12.7% 10.7% 4.7%
Stefano Peschiera 33.1% 26.3% 18.2% 10.2% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dodd 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 2.8% 6.1% 8.1% 7.5% 10.5% 12.5% 15.3% 15.7% 16.1%
Jack Famiglietti 4.7% 5.3% 8.0% 11.0% 12.2% 10.6% 12.1% 13.3% 9.1% 6.9% 5.0% 1.8%
Travis Tucker 2.2% 2.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.8% 9.2% 12.9% 13.2% 15.3% 13.3% 9.2%
Sean Cornell 20.0% 23.2% 17.3% 15.4% 9.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 18.7% 17.9% 17.8% 14.8% 12.5% 7.8% 5.6% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Max Thompson 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 10.6% 12.1% 13.1% 12.2% 11.4% 12.0% 7.3% 4.1% 1.2%
Conner Killham 3.0% 3.3% 5.4% 4.8% 5.9% 9.0% 11.6% 13.7% 12.7% 11.6% 12.3% 6.7%
Allison Chenard 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 4.8% 6.8% 6.9% 10.3% 13.8% 19.8% 27.5%
Sarah DeLoach 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 5.5% 7.2% 10.1% 13.3% 17.6% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.