Race 11A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Andrew Baird 13.3% 13.2% 13.6% 14.5% 13.5% 10.6% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Stefano Peschiera 39.6% 27.8% 14.4% 8.5% 6.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.6% 13.2% 12.8% 11.3% 12.9% 12.5% 9.4% 7.4% 4.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Jack Famiglietti 5.1% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 11.4% 10.6% 10.1% 11.5% 8.6% 7.6% 5.1% 3.1%
Allison Chenard 0.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.9% 9.2% 10.0% 16.6% 34.2%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.4% 4.2% 6.4% 7.1% 5.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 11.0% 12.9% 12.8% 7.8%
Travis Tucker 2.9% 4.3% 3.5% 6.7% 6.3% 5.8% 9.1% 9.2% 12.3% 13.5% 14.2% 12.2%
John Fewell 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.8% 9.7% 11.4% 10.2% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2%
Max Thompson 5.3% 6.0% 9.7% 10.0% 9.5% 11.0% 12.0% 9.6% 10.7% 6.8% 6.7% 2.7%
Jack Gower 8.3% 10.1% 13.6% 12.6% 11.2% 11.1% 10.3% 8.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Conner Killham 3.7% 2.4% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 8.7% 7.7% 11.1% 11.5% 13.5% 13.6% 11.2%
Andrew Dodd 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 3.1% 4.3% 4.6% 7.2% 7.7% 10.8% 14.5% 16.8% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.