Race 1B

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Shannon 7.3% 10.7% 11.3% 11.4% 13.3% 11.5% 9.8% 10.1% 7.0% 4.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Stephan VerHulst 5.7% 11.1% 12.8% 12.7% 10.2% 11.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.2% 5.6% 2.7% 0.3%
Marina Barzaghi 10.3% 12.2% 13.5% 14.0% 11.1% 12.0% 10.5% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 5.8% 9.9% 11.8% 11.7% 12.9% 10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 7.3% 6.2% 3.1% 0.3%
Mitchell Powell 4.6% 5.6% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.6% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 0.9%
David Beaudry 4.5% 5.5% 6.9% 7.5% 7.6% 9.1% 11.7% 10.2% 11.9% 13.2% 10.7% 1.2%
Mackey Leventis 4.2% 5.6% 8.4% 7.2% 8.7% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 13.8% 11.8% 9.6% 1.8%
Carrie Marshall 1.9% 4.4% 3.5% 4.0% 7.4% 5.7% 7.3% 8.2% 11.9% 14.9% 24.4% 6.4%
Megan Ploch 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 6.2% 7.0% 8.0% 8.3% 11.6% 11.0% 15.9% 19.2% 4.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 5.0% 5.5% 8.2% 7.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.7% 11.2% 11.6% 11.9% 9.0% 1.2%
Benjamin Tonks 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 2.2% 1.4% 8.5% 83.2%
Augie Dale 48.2% 26.3% 11.8% 8.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.