Race 2B

saisa-co-ed-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 47.2% 27.4% 13.8% 6.5% 2.5% 1.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 9.0% 13.3% 15.1% 13.7% 12.3% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Samuel Shannon 8.6% 9.9% 11.9% 11.8% 12.4% 12.2% 10.1% 9.6% 7.1% 4.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 5.5% 10.4% 11.4% 12.2% 12.0% 11.3% 10.6% 8.8% 8.0% 6.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Stephan VerHulst 7.8% 10.2% 10.2% 12.5% 11.0% 12.7% 10.6% 7.5% 7.9% 6.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Carrie Marshall 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 5.7% 5.2% 5.2% 7.5% 8.9% 11.7% 16.2% 25.5% 5.7%
Mitchell Powell 5.0% 5.9% 7.8% 8.5% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 11.1% 11.2% 11.0% 8.0% 1.3%
Megan Ploch 2.2% 4.2% 5.3% 4.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 9.3% 11.7% 15.8% 21.7% 3.6%
Mackey Leventis 3.8% 4.9% 6.6% 8.3% 9.1% 11.0% 11.0% 11.2% 12.9% 10.0% 10.2% 1.0%
David Beaudry 4.4% 6.4% 7.1% 7.3% 9.0% 9.2% 10.0% 12.9% 11.0% 12.0% 9.3% 1.4%
Hogan O'Donnell 4.0% 4.6% 6.8% 8.1% 9.0% 9.5% 11.4% 10.0% 12.4% 13.4% 8.9% 1.9%
Benjamin Tonks 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 6.9% 84.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.