Race 4B

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Shannon 7.5% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 12.5% 12.0% 8.8% 10.2% 7.2% 6.2% 3.2% 0.4%
Augie Dale 46.2% 27.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 7.0% 9.9% 10.0% 11.4% 11.4% 10.9% 10.9% 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9%
David Beaudry 3.7% 3.8% 6.4% 8.1% 8.3% 10.3% 10.4% 10.8% 10.1% 12.2% 12.9% 3.0%
Kyle Magno 6.6% 8.6% 11.8% 11.3% 11.3% 9.4% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 5.5% 5.4% 0.9%
Marina Barzaghi 9.3% 13.5% 12.6% 13.0% 13.0% 11.6% 8.4% 7.2% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Mackey Leventis 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 9.6% 10.7% 13.3% 11.0% 4.9%
Mitchell Powell 4.8% 6.3% 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 9.5% 9.3% 10.9% 11.7% 11.5% 8.6% 4.0%
Robert Gruskos 4.1% 5.2% 7.7% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 11.5% 9.4% 12.4% 10.2% 10.0% 1.9%
Megan Ploch 2.5% 4.2% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 8.7% 8.4% 11.0% 14.0% 20.8% 10.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.6% 5.0% 7.0% 6.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 10.5% 13.2% 11.5% 4.5%
Jennifer Cahalan 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 5.5% 11.8% 69.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.