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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+1.03vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+4.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.25+3.24vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.36+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.29+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16-3.14vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.95-3.74vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.63-0.04vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.33-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03College of Charleston3.750.5%1st Place
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6.92Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.62Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.24University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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4.86University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.26Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.23Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 46.0% | 27.1% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 4.5% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 2.9% |
| David Beaudry | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Shannon | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 10.7% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 68.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.