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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Feeney 14.1% 14.4% 16.5% 14.5% 13.3% 11.5% 7.2% 3.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Augie Dale 40.0% 30.2% 12.3% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Schoene 16.3% 18.0% 18.1% 13.8% 13.8% 10.9% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 1.7% 2.7% 2.6% 4.9% 5.4% 7.2% 9.8% 10.4% 11.8% 15.5% 19.2% 8.8%
Stephan VerHulst 6.7% 6.4% 11.5% 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 10.5% 11.9% 9.4% 4.6% 4.4% 0.4%
David Beaudry 3.3% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 9.1% 11.0% 14.3% 12.7% 12.6% 9.8% 3.3%
Mitchell Powell 3.6% 5.3% 6.6% 7.1% 10.1% 9.9% 10.5% 11.8% 12.6% 10.6% 8.4% 3.5%
Mackey Leventis 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.1% 10.4% 12.6% 12.4% 13.7% 9.1% 4.4%
Kyle Magno 5.3% 6.2% 10.4% 13.5% 12.3% 12.3% 12.5% 9.4% 8.7% 5.9% 3.1% 0.4%
Carrie Marshall 1.7% 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 6.3% 8.0% 9.5% 11.1% 15.7% 22.3% 10.8%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.3% 3.2% 6.0% 6.5% 8.3% 9.4% 12.9% 10.7% 14.2% 12.6% 9.3% 3.6%
Jennifer Cahalan 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 7.0% 14.0% 64.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.