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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+4.52vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.59+4.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.56+2.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.20+0.29vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+2.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.11-1.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.39-3.28vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.75-3.25vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.36-2.07vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.79-1.24vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.58-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Yale University1.7011.9%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island1.057.9%1st Place
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7.23Fairfield University0.596.3%1st Place
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6.62Boston University0.568.0%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University1.2012.8%1st Place
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8.77Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.1111.2%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University1.3915.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.6%1st Place
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6.75Brown University0.757.5%1st Place
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11.01Bates College-0.582.2%1st Place
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9.93McGill University-0.362.8%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University-0.791.3%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University-0.582.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont-0.442.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 29.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| Greer Page | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.