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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.90vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.30vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.10+0.47vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.29-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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2.57Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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3.7Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.47Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 24.6% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Dawson | 29.7% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Laura Smit | 13.7% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.5% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Quanah Green | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 40.7% |
| Susan Riley | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 25.3% |
| Sean Grealish | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 24.7% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.