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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+2.59vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07-0.33vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.230.00vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.10-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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2.6Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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2.92University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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5.36Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 29.1% | 25.6% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 22.7% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Laura Smit | 14.8% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Susan Riley | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 23.2% | 24.9% |
| Sean Grealish | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 23.6% |
| Quanah Green | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 22.3% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.