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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.29-0.12vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-1.05vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.10-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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2.57Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.33Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 24.7% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Dawson | 30.5% | 25.5% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smit | 13.9% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 6.2% |
| Sean Grealish | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 23.2% |
| Susan Riley | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 25.0% |
| Quanah Green | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.