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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.09vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.29vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.230.00vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.10-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.29-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.6University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.71Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.45Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 30.7% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Laura Smit | 13.8% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 22.4% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Susan Riley | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 26.5% |
| Quanah Green | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 39.7% |
| Sean Grealish | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 23.6% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.