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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.90vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.29+0.89vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.28vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-1.03vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.10-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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2.55Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.97Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.31Oregon State University-0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 25.2% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Dawson | 31.3% | 24.9% | 19.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Laura Smit | 14.1% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| Sean Grealish | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 22.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.3% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Susan Riley | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 25.9% |
| Quanah Green | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.