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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.29+0.90vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-0.02vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.30vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.10-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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4.98Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.7Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.3Oregon State University-0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 31.4% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 23.2% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smit | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Sean Grealish | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 23.0% |
| Susan Riley | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 23.0% | 24.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.6% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Quanah Green | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.