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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.10+4.35vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.29-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07-2.37vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.23-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Oregon State University-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.61Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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2.92University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.87Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quanah Green | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 37.6% |
| Chloe Dawson | 28.7% | 26.0% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 23.3% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Sean Grealish | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 23.3% |
| Laura Smit | 14.8% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Susan Riley | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.