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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+7.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+3.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.20+1.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.75+1.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.39-1.14vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.58+4.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56-1.37vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.11-3.44vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.59-2.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.58vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.58-1.12vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-2.82vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Salve Regina University0.974.9%1st Place
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5.14Yale University1.7013.5%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island1.057.8%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University1.2012.2%1st Place
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6.76Brown University0.757.1%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University1.3913.9%1st Place
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11.0Bates College-0.582.2%1st Place
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6.63Boston University0.568.6%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University1.1111.2%1st Place
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7.3Fairfield University0.596.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University-0.582.2%1st Place
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10.18McGill University-0.362.6%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University-0.791.7%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont-0.443.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Alex Adams | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Edward Herman | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 29.4% |
| Greer Page | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.