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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.96vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.29+1.36vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.10+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.32-0.76vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.23-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Puget Sound0.290.1%1st Place
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6.05Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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5.52Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 27.6% | 25.4% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smit | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Sean Grealish | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| Quanah Green | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 32.2% |
| Sam Reul | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| Susan Riley | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 23.8% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.