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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+0.99vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+0.52vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.36+1.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Washington0.950.4%1st Place
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2.52Western Washington University0.460.2%1st Place
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4.34Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.99Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.16University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 42.5% | 29.0% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Max Van Dam | 24.4% | 27.5% | 25.8% | 16.4% | 5.9% |
| Jonathan Atler | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 65.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 15.4% | 20.7% | 25.1% | 27.3% | 11.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 13.9% | 16.8% | 22.9% | 31.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.