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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+0.98vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.36+2.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46-0.52vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Washington0.950.4%1st Place
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4.38Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University0.460.2%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 43.4% | 27.5% | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Atler | 3.6% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 67.5% |
| Max Van Dam | 24.1% | 29.8% | 25.0% | 16.6% | 4.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 15.0% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 27.1% | 11.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 13.9% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 32.8% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.