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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+0.98vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+1.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46-0.52vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.36+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Washington0.950.4%1st Place
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3.0Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University0.460.2%1st Place
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4.34Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 44.2% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 14.6% | 20.6% | 25.6% | 28.4% | 10.8% |
| Max Van Dam | 24.6% | 29.6% | 24.9% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Jonathan Atler | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 64.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 13.4% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 29.3% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.